What are the odds and predictions for the Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassime match at the 2026 Madrid Open?

Betting Odds and Implied Probability

Felix Auger-Aliassime is the heavy favorite to defeat Alexander Blockx, with moneyline odds of -235 compared to Blockx's +180. According to the implied probability from the moneyline, Blockx has a 70.1% implied probability to win the match. Auger-Aliassime's odds to win the tournament are +333, while Blockx's tournament odds are +1100.

Expert Predictions

Both betting analysts and oddsmakers favor Auger-Aliassime in this matchup. Experts predict Auger-Aliassime will win comfortably, citing that the Canadian served well and dominated his previous matches. Analysts note that Blockx looked tired in his second-round victory against Nakashima and will struggle against Auger-Aliassime. A value bet identified by analysts is Auger-Aliassime covering the -2.5 games handicap at odds of 1.73.

Recent Form and Performance

Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches and has shown strong performance at Madrid, defeating Gaubas in straight sets without offering any break points. Blockx has won three of his last five matches but lost to Ben Shelton in the second round at the BMW Open on April 15. On clay courts over the past 12 months, Blockx has an 82.8% winning percentage on serve and 25.5% on return, while Auger-Aliassime has an 80.6% service winning percentage and 24.2% return winning percentage.

Tournament Context

This is a Round of 32 match at the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open on clay courts. It marks the first meeting between Blockx and Auger-Aliassime. Auger-Aliassime is seeking his first tournament victory on clay in 2026. The match is scheduled for Monday, April 27, 2026 at 16:30 CEST and will be broadcast on the Tennis Channel.